China's aircraft carrier construction hardware die casting industry ushered in a golden period of investment


Date:

2019-07-22

Building aircraft carrier is an inevitable choice for peaceful development of our country. China's peaceful rise requires the escort of an aircraft carrier.

China's aircraft carrier construction hardware die casting industry ushered in a golden period of investment

Building aircraft carriers is an inevitable choice for China's peaceful development. China's peaceful rise requires the escort of aircraft carriers. From the national strategic level, China's maritime sector has been completely surrounded by the Navy deployed by the United States to form a two-layer island chain. Without the cooperation of aircraft carrier forces with coastal defense and air defense, China is difficult to break out of these two island chains, so it is imperative to build aircraft carriers to promote China's navy to enter the deep-sea area. From the economic perspective, the protection of oil and gas resources in the East China Sea and the South China Sea, the safety guarantee of maritime transport routes for imported oil and a large number of commodity goods, and the provision of large-scale disaster relief system transport all need to build aircraft carriers. In particular, ensuring the safety of sea roads and oil routes is a matter of national interest, so it is very necessary to build a navy with a high-tech aircraft carrier fleet

Against this background, steel stocks in the hardware industry rose against the market, and Fushun Special Steel firmly sealed the limit. Luo Baihui, head of the International Association of Suppliers of Mold, Hardware and Plastic Industry, pointed out that the concept of aircraft carrier extended to steel stocks in the hardware industry, especially special steel. There is no doubt that aircraft carrier construction requires a lot of steel, or this led to the popularity of steel stocks in the industry. However, a military expert at the National Defense University, who did not want to be named, said that the platform construction was not difficult for self built aircraft carriers, but they had high requirements for steel plates and other materials. Therefore, analysts pointed out that we should guard against short-term speculation in steel stocks

Geng Yansheng, spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, said at a regular press conference held by the Ministry of National Defense in Beijing on the 27th that China is currently using an old aircraft carrier platform for transformation for scientific research, testing and training. Geng Yansheng said that relevant Chinese departments are taking all factors into consideration and seriously studying the development of aircraft carriers. The specific time for the sea trial of the aircraft carrier to be reconstructed at present shall be determined according to the progress of the whole reconstruction project. At the same time, the training of shipborne aircraft pilots mainly depends on our own strength is in progress

Aircraft carrier construction drives investment in related industries

Future aircraft carrier construction will drive 100 billion yuan of investment. Aircraft carrier construction is a huge system project. The national investment in aircraft carriers will continue to drive the technological upgrading of related industries. At the same time, the transition from military to civilian use in the future is also conducive to changing the mode of economic growth. The investment demand of large aircraft carriers is more than US $10 billion. From the perspective of sea area safety, China is likely to build more than two aircraft carriers. The total cost of two aircraft carriers should be estimated to be about US $10 billion to US $15 billion. In addition to the annual maintenance and support costs in the later period, China's aircraft carrier driven investment should be 100 billion yuan

The aircraft carrier high-end equipment industry involves the manufacturing of ship bodies and various types of shipborne aircraft. The construction of aircraft carriers has enabled China's high-end equipment industry to enter a rapid development channel. At the same time, the investment in ship manufacturing accounts for about 40% - 60% of the total aircraft carrier fleet. According to the previous estimate, the investment in ship manufacturing will reach about half of the 100 billion aircraft carrier fleet investment, and the market investment will reach 50 billion yuan

Research shows that the construction of China's aircraft carrier fleet will continue to trigger a scale of up to hundreds of billions of yuan for a long time to come, involving investment in several industries including high-end equipment manufacturing, high-end materials and information systems

"In the next five years, the average annual market capacity of the aircraft carrier industry chain will reach 30 billion yuan.", Luo Baihui, the head of the International Association of Suppliers of Mold, Hardware and Plastic Industries, said that the cost of forming a battle group for the Varyag aircraft carrier was about US $6 billion, while that for China's first self built aircraft carrier battle group was about US $12 billion. China will form at least two aircraft carrier battle groups in the next five years, with an annual market capacity of 30 billion yuan

Luo Baihui said that it is assumed that China will build two aircraft carrier battle groups in the next five years, namely one self built aircraft carrier and one reconstructed Varyag. According to the international aircraft carrier cost calculation, the reconstruction cost of China's first self built aircraft carrier and Varyag aircraft carrier is 18 billion US dollars, which is 121.8 billion yuan calculated at the average exchange rate of 1:677 in 2010. In addition to personnel training, fuel and aircraft carrier maintenance costs, it is estimated that 150 billion yuan will be needed. Among them, the market capacity of hull construction is 84.6 billion yuan, that of shipborne aircraft is 23.7 billion yuan, that of fighter aircraft is 20.3 billion yuan, that of engine is 16.2 billion yuan, that of radar is 19.1 billion yuan, and that of weapon system is 9.2 billion yuan

"As a huge system project, the construction of aircraft carrier formation involves such combat units as aircraft carriers, carrier based aircraft, and formation auxiliary ships. The construction of an aircraft carrier formation will drive huge industrial investment. It is estimated that the investment required to build a complete aircraft carrier formation is at least 10 billion dollars." Liu Zhuoping, an analyst at Dongguan Securities, told the Economic Information Daily that, considering the security of China's territorial sovereignty in the East China Sea and the South China Sea and in combination with China's technological development, building medium-sized aircraft carriers is the most likely choice at present. According to the predictions of different media, China is likely to build more than two aircraft carriers. The total cost of two aircraft carriers should be about 10 billion to 15 billion US dollars, plus the annual maintenance and support costs thereafter, China's aircraft carrier driven investment should be 100 billion yuan

Wang Shan, deputy director of the Marine Strategy Research Center of the Chinese Academy of Modern International Relations, said that Japan, South Korea, India and Thailand all have large surface ships. China has a long coastline and many islands, and has many interests overseas. However, China's aircraft carriers started very late, and the development of three to five aircraft carriers is not much. Luo Baihui also said, "The total GDP of the United States in 2010 was about 14.5 trillion US dollars, and there were 11 heavy aircraft carrier battle groups with a displacement of more than 100,000 tons. China's total GDP in 2010 was about 5.7 trillion US dollars, two fifths of the United States. According to this estimate, China's economic strength is enough to support the possession of five heavy aircraft carrier battle groups or about 10 medium-sized aircraft carrier battle groups"

Upgrade the five major industries and usher in the golden period of development

Luo Baihui, the head of the International Association of Suppliers of Mold, Hardware and Plastic Industry, believes that in the process of China's aircraft carrier construction in the future, many high-tech industries, including high-end equipment manufacturing, high-end materials, will usher in a golden period of development and upgrading under the stimulus of hundreds of billions of dollars

China Shipbuilding Information Center believes that the construction of aircraft carrier and its combat system is a complex system engineering and a process of integration and integration of multiple technology fields. It is necessary to mobilize the highest scientific and technological level and industrial capabilities of multiple industries. The development of aircraft carriers not only puts forward very high requirements for the capability of the shipbuilding industry and the technical level of related equipment, laying a more solid foundation for the development of high value-added ships and advanced marine engineering equipment, but also puts forward extraordinary requirements for the aviation, power, machinery, electronics, materials and even fuel industries, promoting the upgrading and transformation of these industries, and at the same time, tempering the complex large system integration capability of China's manufacturing industry

Luo Baihui believes that building aircraft carriers can promote the development of China's high-end equipment manufacturing industry. The aircraft carrier is a combination of high and new technologies, with a large value. For example, the second "Ford class" ship in the United States has a budget of 11 billion dollars. Its industrial chain involves many industries, such as materials, equipment manufacturing, shipborne aircraft, power systems, and navigation and reconnaissance equipment. The construction of aircraft carriers has a great catalytic effect on the upgrading of China's manufacturing industry

Luo Baihui said that 100 billion yuan investment will bring investment opportunities in five directions for the aircraft carrier industry and promote the upgrading of related industries. "It mainly includes high-end equipment manufacturing, aviation weapon systems, power systems, high-end materials and information systems." Aircraft carrier construction will promote the rapid development of high-end equipment industry, and aviation weapon systems will also face technological upgrading. In addition, other aircraft carrier systems will also face technological upgrading: power systems will drive more technology and capital investment, high-end materials will achieve industrial upgrading and import substitution, and information systems will also face upgrading. "The 100 billion level investment in aircraft carriers will drive the upgrading of the entire aerospace and military industry and benefit the entire aerospace and military industry sector"

"The aircraft carrier water test and the construction of the future aircraft carrier formation are of great significance for the technological innovation, breakthrough and breakthrough of China's strategic emerging industries, especially high-end equipment manufacturing industry." Wei Meng, a researcher in the machinery industry of AVIC Securities, also said that, from the current situation, in the next three to five years, China is expected to form three to five aircraft carrier formations with conventional power aircraft carriers as the core, which will be a great benefit to China's coastal defense military industry and marine engineering. In the military industry, Wei Meng said that since 2008, China has gradually increased the investment in coastal defense construction, and the growth of related orders is also very rapid. The aircraft carrier trial and future construction are expected to significantly promote the industrial development and technology upgrading of coastal defense military industry. In terms of offshore engineering, Wei Meng said that the water test and subsequent construction of aircraft carriers, on the one hand, showed that China has achieved breakthroughs in offshore engineering equipment manufacturing, related materials (special steel and special steel), transmission devices, power systems and communication systems, and will also play a significant role in the future improvement of these industries

However, a military expert at the National Defense University, who did not want to be named, said that the platform construction was not difficult for self built aircraft carriers, but the aircraft carriers had high requirements for steel plates and other materials. For example, the shell steel plate can withstand great pressure in water, and the deck steel plate must be made of large pieces of high-strength steel plate by welding. It is also required to be able to withstand the flame of jet aircraft with a temperature of thousands of degrees Celsius. At present, China is unable to produce the steel used for the arresting rope on the deck (to help slow down the aircraft when landing) by itself. The arresting rope must be able to withstand hundreds of tons of force, and must have certain elasticity, stiffness, strength and hardness. At present, this steel can only be imported. This involves basic industry and materials science. If this fails, the life of aircraft carriers will be short

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